Today's Pick: DET (-135) ML vs. ATH

I am struggling some today.  It's been a stressful day and my mind is racked with tension so I'm going to get this pick in and try to rest some.

DET (-135) ML vs. ATH

Troy Melton (4-1) starts for Detroit.  Melton has been on fire.  Over his Last3 starts, the Tigers' rookie hurler has only allowed a total of five hits and two earned runs.  On the season, Melton has posted a superb 2.05 ERA with a 0.80 WHIP in 44.0 innings of work.  The righty has good command over a six-pitch mix that includes two looks to his fastball with a four-seamer that reaches 99mph, a cutter, a splitter and a pair of breaking balls.  He has a live arm and has put together some momentum this summer.  I watched him pitch some, he is no Eury Perez but the numbers are strong.

Jeffrey Springs (3-8) starts for the Athletics.  Springs went off the rails somewhere around the end of May.  In six starts in the month of June, Springs allowed 30 earned runs.  That damage was spread out fairly evenly.  12 home run balls.  This guy has been getting wrecked.

The A's look to have a slight advantage in the bullpen tonight but a lot of that is recency bias.  Despite pitching well over the last two weeks, the A's bullpen hasn't been all that reliable this season.  Detroit's bullpen, without Vest, is soft but Keider Montero could throw tonight in relief of Melton and Montero has pitched well this season.  Jansen is available in the ninth.

Jacob Wilson, Zach Gelof and Tyler Soderstrom are all in the lineup for the A's tonight.  It is a dangerous A's lineup. The Tigers' lineup looks like squat to be honest.  Softest Tigers' lineup of the season.  

I'm betting on Melton as much as I'm betting against Springs.  The two getting together in this one should have the Tigers going off at long odds.  The price at (-135) is nice.  That is a testament to the A's potent offense and the Tigers having a lineup that has Matt Vierling leading off with a .255 On-Base Percentage.  Hao Yu Lee at 2B?  Rookie Ben Malgeri in right field and Jahmai Jones at the DH with a .140 BA on the season.  What the f*ck?  I'm putting it on anyways.  I am stressed to the hilt today.

We're betting on Melton and Montero tonight and the likelihood of another blowup from Springs.  Too much into this post to turn back now.  Let's see how it goes.  

----------------Wednesday, July 8th-----------------

Today's Pick: STR WAGER

--DET (-135) ML vs. ATH

Units in Play: 1.00 units

Amount Wagered: 1.00 units
Ticket Pays: 1.74 units

---------------------Cash Ticket--------------------------

Popular posts from this blog

Postgame Report: MIN -1.5 (-120) Loss

It's 8-2 in the eighth.  Twins lost this one.  Joe Ryan had a bad game.  I'm not looking into this one too far. I picked the game I liked the most, it was the heaviest favorite on the board outside of the Orioles and the pitching matchup, in my opinion, was as good as it gets. Mitchell Parker had a good game.  One thing I can't understand is why Rocco Baldelli stacked his lineup with righties to start the game.  I get that Parker is a lefty but if you look at his splits and you look at his pitch stats, you can see clearly that he gets outs against right handed hitters and gets mashed by lefties.   Baldelli left all three of his lefties on the bench tonight.  Both of the Twins switch hitters took at bats from the right hand side of the plate.  Eight righties in the Twins lineup tonight opened up Parker's game and he got the win.   I noticed it before the game started.  I should have taken the bet off but thought that Ryan and th...
Read more

Today's Pick: A 2 Team Parlay

I have 1.56 units in play after yesterday's quasi-disappointment.   I'm going to rack a unit, and play a two team parlay tonight.  I've been stuck on 32 units banked for two weeks now.   I can't stand the number 32.  It has everything to do with Magic Johnson.  I don't like magic and I don't like Johnson.   Anyhow, now that we have 33 units in the bank, I feel better. Jose Canseco wore number 33.  Still one of my favorite players of all time.   No analysis today, I'm just making a pick.  My season for the most part is over.  I have 0.56 units in play, 4.0 units in my account, and 33 units in the bank.   The pick is a parlay on the Astros (-350) ML / Blue Jays (-175) ML for a (+105) payout. I like the pick.  Im happy with the plus money.  Have to win them both to cash a ticket but I like the play.   Today's Pick:  PAR:  TOR (-180) ML / HOU (-350) ML over Units in Play:  0.56...
Read more

Postgame Report: MIL (-130) Winner

The Brewers kept it rolling last night, winning their fifth game in a row with a 7-2 victory over the Braves.   Joey Wentz cruised through the first two innings.  He had three K's and retired six in a row.   Brewer's center fielder Blake Perkins led off the third with a base hit.  Danny Jansen flew out to right.  Perkins stole second base.  Nine hole hitter Joey Ortiz put the ball in the gap and recorded an infield single that moved the runner to third.  Leadoff hitter Caleb Durbin walked to load the bases.   Bases loaded with one out.   Joey Wentz got a shallow fly ball from William Contreras.  Two down with Christian Yellich at the plate.  He got ahead 0-2 on Yellich and made a good pitch with the curveball but the veteran didn't chase.  Yellich collected an RBI on an infield hit that scored Perkins from third.  It's a 1-0 game.  Andrew Vaughn at the plate.  Wentz got ahead of Vaughn 0-2 and...
Read more