Today's Pick: "Smooth Sailin" Three-Team Parlay (+335)

I am stacking up three games today for a shot at a (+335) payout.  I like all three picks and from what I reckon, this ticket has as good of a shot at cashing as any of the other bets I have delivered this season. So, let's put it on.

I would like to make this clear.  Resignation to what I would consider forces outside of my control is in no way "winging it" -- I put in my work today and researched the games thoroughly.  I settled on these three picks as being the best value and the best bets on the board.

KCR (-115) ML @ MIN

I like Seth Lugo.  Lugo (2-4) hasn't posted spectacular numbers this season and had a rocky flight across the month of May but he put in some good work in his last start in Fort Worth on May 30th.  Lugo went six innings against the Rangers, only allowed one earned run, struck out six batters and didn't issue a walk.  It was Lugo's third quality start in a row.  If Lugo can get six innings tonight, the Royals will be in good position to win this game.

Minnesota is throwing a bullpen game and their bullpen is a motely collection of arms assembled from Tampa Bay castaways and LA drift wood.  Minnesota's bullpen is 28th in the league in xFIP (expected Fielding Independent Pitching) since May 1st.  xFIP is a good way to assess a bullpen's overall effectiveness and xFIP says Minnesota's bullpen didn't pitch all that well in May.

I like KC to get a road win tonight and like the price on the Moneyline at (-115).  Game time is 6:40 PM CDT from the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN.

LAD (-140) ML @ AZD

Dodgers are in Arizona for the final game of a four-game series with the Snakes.  Dodgers are up 2-1 in the series after a 7-0 win in last night's game.  Justin Wrobleski (7-2) starts for LA.  Wrobleski hasn't tallied strikeouts in '26 like he did in the '25 season but something clicked in his last start against the Phillies on May 29th and I'm betting that it carries over tonight in the desert.  He only allowed one hit and recorded nine strikeouts in that game and that was good for a win.  Wrobleski has pitched better under the lights and will take the ball tonight in what is the Thursday Night Game of the Week.

Ryne Nelson (2-4) has been a mixed bag this season.  Nelson has been hittable, allowing 21 hits and six home runs over his last 20.1 innings of work. He hasn't been missing many bats and has only recorded 9 strikeouts over his Last3 starts.  Dodgers can run Nelson out of the game early tonight and the D'Backs bullpen isn't all that formidable.  

The price on this game at (-140) looks good.  To get the Dodgers at (-140), there is value in that no matter who is starting the game for LA.  Their bullpen is a top10 group and their offense has been the best in MLB this season.  If there was an ace on the mound against Wrobleski, (-140) would be a good price.  It's Ryne Nelson on the mound and he hasn't thrown the ball like an ace.  

I like the price on this game tonight.  It's a 6:40 PM CDT start from Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ.  

ATL (-275) ML vs. TOR

Chris Sale (4-1) starts for Atlanta. Sale is as good of an option to start a game as any pitcher in MLB.  Sale has all the awards and accolades a man could ever ask for.  He is a first-ballot hall of famer and at age 37 continues to throw the ball as well as he ever has. In five May starts, Sale posted a 1.69 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP and an 11.81 K/9.  

The Blue Jays are throwing a bullpen game. They have their top5 well rested but a three-game series with the Baltimore Orioles is looming this weekend and Blue Jays manager, John Schnieder, isn't going to cash his entire bullpen to win an interleague game.  

I like Atlanta tonight. Sale can win this game with seven innings. Schnieder and the Jays will take a loss in lieu of rest ahead of a big series against the Orange Birds of Baltimore. 

The long odds at (-275) aren't all that nice but this game pays well on the end of a three-team parlay. If we bet KC and LA as a two-teamer, it's a (+220) payout.  Adding Atlanta to our parlay at (-275) adds (+115) to our ticket.  What that says to me is that I'm getting (+115) on Chris Sale and the Braves tonight and I like those odds.  First pitch at 6:15 PM CDT at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA.  

All together it's a three-team parlay that pays out at (+335).  Print that ticket.  

--------------Thursday, June 4th-----------------

Today's Pick: Three-Team Parlay (+335)

-- KCR (-115) ML @ MIN
-- LAD (-140) ML @ AZD
-- ATL (-275) ML vs. TOR

Units in Play: 1.0 units

Amount Wagered: 1.0 units
Ticket Pays: 4.35 units

---------------------Cash Ticket----------------------

Popular posts from this blog

Today's Pick: A 2 Team Parlay

I have 1.56 units in play after yesterday's quasi-disappointment.   I'm going to rack a unit, and play a two team parlay tonight.  I've been stuck on 32 units banked for two weeks now.   I can't stand the number 32.  It has everything to do with Magic Johnson.  I don't like magic and I don't like Johnson.   Anyhow, now that we have 33 units in the bank, I feel better. Jose Canseco wore number 33.  Still one of my favorite players of all time.   No analysis today, I'm just making a pick.  My season for the most part is over.  I have 0.56 units in play, 4.0 units in my account, and 33 units in the bank.   The pick is a parlay on the Astros (-350) ML / Blue Jays (-175) ML for a (+105) payout. I like the pick.  Im happy with the plus money.  Have to win them both to cash a ticket but I like the play.   Today's Pick:  PAR:  TOR (-180) ML / HOU (-350) ML over Units in Play:  0.56...
Read more

Postgame Report: NYY (-215) Winner

That's six wins in a row for the Pickstreak blog.  We crushed that pick into the upperdeck. Carlos Rodon had a great start in front of the New York crowd and the Yanks' bats scored nine runs and hit three homers.  Twins' starter Travis Adams was out of the game in the third.  Minnesota's bullpen gave up seven hits, seven walks and five earned.   The Yanks bullpen locked it down.  Yankees win 9-1. The Yankees were not a sure thing.  Rodon had two fairly bad starts coming into last night's contest.  The Yankees were 3-7 over their last ten and the Twins had played some good baseball.   Following the game closely everyday, you can pick up on some minutia that isn't necessarily in the stats or in the boxscores.   I feel like this series with the Twins is a turning point for the Yankees' season.  I think the Yanks are going to win some games in August with Luis Gil, Cam Schlittler and Will Warren all turning it up a notch....
Read more

Postgame Report: MIN -1.5 (-120) Loss

It's 8-2 in the eighth.  Twins lost this one.  Joe Ryan had a bad game.  I'm not looking into this one too far. I picked the game I liked the most, it was the heaviest favorite on the board outside of the Orioles and the pitching matchup, in my opinion, was as good as it gets. Mitchell Parker had a good game.  One thing I can't understand is why Rocco Baldelli stacked his lineup with righties to start the game.  I get that Parker is a lefty but if you look at his splits and you look at his pitch stats, you can see clearly that he gets outs against right handed hitters and gets mashed by lefties.   Baldelli left all three of his lefties on the bench tonight.  Both of the Twins switch hitters took at bats from the right hand side of the plate.  Eight righties in the Twins lineup tonight opened up Parker's game and he got the win.   I noticed it before the game started.  I should have taken the bet off but thought that Ryan and th...
Read more