Today's Pick: TEX (-165) ML @ LAA
It's a full slate and there are some good picks to dig in on. Plus money on the Cardinals is interesting with Chris Paddack (0-5) starting for the Reds.
Blue Jays and Kevin Gausman (3-3) at home vs. the Pirates and Bubba Chandler (1-5) caught my eye.
Logan Gilbert (2-4) and Jacob DeGrom (3-3) start for the Mariners and Rangers. Two of the games' best and most reliable starters have soft matchups against the Royals and the Angels, respectively.
A four-team parlay packaging the Cardinals, Blue Jays, Rangers and Mariners pays out at (+872) and I like that bet but I do recall, from yesterday's boxscores, the Blue Jays as having thrown a bullpen game against the Yanks. They shut out the Yankees in that game but threw five relievers in the win. It takes the Blue Jays off my board.
Pirates' bullpen is well-rested. Chandler has some backup tonight and that takes the Cardinals off the board. Leahy isn't good for a win on his own merits. I still like plus money on this game. I think it's a good bet but am going to pass.
That leaves the Rangers and the Mariners. DeGrom and Gilbert are two of my favorite pitchers.
A quick look at Gilbert's game logs reflects some concern. He has gotten wrecked in his last two starts in Seattle. Seven home runs allowed in his last 12.2 innings at SAFECO Field.
His underlying numbers look good. He has posted a 4.75 K/BB ratio and a 9.13 K/9 in 56.2 total innings this season. Take those two games off his charts (May 4th vs. ATL, May 16th vs. SDP) and Gilbert has a 3.47 ERA and an 0.82 HR/9 in 44.0 innings. That is more indicative of the pitcher that Gilbert has proven to be over the course of his career.
Seattle's offense is a bigger concern than Gilbert tonight but it's Gilbert's bombs that have me laying off. The Royals have some power. It's a road game for Seattle and Gilbert threw a gem in his last road start. He has pitched better on the road this season but there is some uncertainty with Gilbert tonight and that makes Seattle a pass despite KC having lost nine of their last ten games.
I'm on a three-pick losing streak, I'm playing defense, I'd package a game up with the Rangers for a plus-money payout but the number on DeGrom at (-165) looks good. I'm not digging in any more on it. In DeGrom We Trust.
I'm taking the Rangers tonight at (-165) in a straight wager. It looks like the best bet on the board to me.
------------------Friday, May 22nd-------------------
Today's Pick: TEX (-165) ML @ LAA
Opening Account Balance: 50.00 Units
Current Account Balance: 46.00 Units
Bank Balance: 0.00 Units
Units in Play: 1.00 units
Amount Wagered: 1.00 units
Ticket Pays: 1.61 units
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