Today's Pick: MIN (-110) over MIL

Yesterday you're betting against them, today you're betting them to win.  It's all about the pitching matchups.  

I like the Twins today.  I think Joe Ryan has become a legitimate ace.  He has eaten up right handed hitters all season.  When I think of the Brewers offense, I primarily think of Jackson Chourio, William Contreras and Rhys Hoskins.  Milwaukee's three best power hitters should be well neutralized by Ryan and his four seamer, sinker, splitter mix.  

I've been waiting for a team to blow up Chad Patrick all season.  Patrick's 72.6 AIR% (line drives plus fly balls) is one of the highest in MLB.  His HardHit% is also well above league average.  Patrick works well against righties similar to Joe Ryan, they have a similar arsenal, but Ryan is more polished and has better pitch metrics across the board.  The combination of Patrick's hard hit ball percentage and AIR% has to lead to a few homerun balls at some point this season.

Look for Brooks Lee to have a big day.  The switch hitter has four homers on the season, all from the left side. 

It's going to be windy, wet and cold tonight in Milwaukee, but they should get the game in.  I like the Twins at (-110), Ryan is the better pitcher, the Twins are on a roll and swinging the bats, and we're getting good odds.  Let's put a unit on it.

Today's Pick:  MIN (-110) over MIL
Units in Play:  1.00
Units Wagered:  1.00
Ticket Pays:  1.91 units (+0.91 Units)
Current Streak:  0
Longest Streak:  6

Total Units Wagered (Season):  33.75 units
Current Bank Balance:  31 units
Beginning Bank Balance:  40 units
Total Units Raked (season):  9 units
Profit / Loss (season):  Even
Overall Record:  15-8

Popular posts from this blog

Today's Pick: CIN (-165) over MIA

The Reds and the Marlins conclude a four game series at The Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati, OH, it's a 4:10 CDT first pitch.  The Marlins took the first two games of the series but the Reds battled back in game three, winning 7-2 on another quality start from lefty Andrew Abbott.   It's lefty Nick Lodolo starting for the Reds this afternoon.  Lodolo has been prone to giving up the long ball and leads the league in hit batsman.  Oddly, he doesn't walk that many hitters.  Strikeouts are his game, he has averaged nearly a strikeout per inning this season.  It's Lodolo's last start before the All Star break, he'll be charged up and should let it rip today.   Cal Quantrill starts for Miami.  I like Cal Quantrill.  He has pitched well this season and should be under consideration for a trade at the end of July.  Miami's management has been closely watching his pitch count and does everything in their power to keep him from get...
Read more

Today's Pick: A 2 Team Parlay

I have 1.56 units in play after yesterday's quasi-disappointment.   I'm going to rack a unit, and play a two team parlay tonight.  I've been stuck on 32 units banked for two weeks now.   I can't stand the number 32.  It has everything to do with Magic Johnson.  I don't like magic and I don't like Johnson.   Anyhow, now that we have 33 units in the bank, I feel better. Jose Canseco wore number 33.  Still one of my favorite players of all time.   No analysis today, I'm just making a pick.  My season for the most part is over.  I have 0.56 units in play, 4.0 units in my account, and 33 units in the bank.   The pick is a parlay on the Astros (-350) ML / Blue Jays (-175) ML for a (+105) payout. I like the pick.  Im happy with the plus money.  Have to win them both to cash a ticket but I like the play.   Today's Pick:  PAR:  TOR (-180) ML / HOU (-350) ML over Units in Play:  0.56...
Read more

Wednesday, August 6th: No Pick Today

No pick today, there isn't much on the board that I liked.  I didn't dig into any games but the Giants and the Pirates early this morning.  I liked the Giants but they don't hit left handed pitching all that well and Pirates had a well rested bullpen.  The Giants won that game 4-2.   I had thought about putting on my three dogs play with the Rangers, Reds and the Royals.  The Reds are down 6-0.  That would have been a loser.   There are some games later this afternoon and some late games too but I am going to take a pass on the action today and see if I can find a good spot tomorrow.   I'm sitting at 5.36 units in play and have a four game Pickstreak on the line.  We'll look to make it five in a row tomorrow.  
Read more